STOCKHEAD & THE AUSTRALIAN
When share prices climb faster than profits, dividend yields naturally shrink. So while stocks look elevated, those once-reliable cheques don’t carry the weight they used to.
For income-hungry investors, the hunt is on for something steadier.
One corner of the market that’s quietly moving into the spotlight is private credit – and in particular, real estate-backed private credit.
Consistent, steady, predictable returns, along with the magic of compounding, are what protect, preserve, and build capital. When it comes to investing for long-term wealth, it pays to be boring. While equity markets rise and fall, real estate private credit has delivered steady, uncorrelated returns.
While this may seem boring to some investors, for us, that very consistency is what makes real estate private credit worthy of consideration in every investor portfolio.
Growing evidence of a recovery in GDP growth, including household spending, has seen the futures market pare back pricing for future interest rate cuts. In effect, one 25 basis point interest rate cut has been ‘taken out’ of market pricing in the past month to the point where just two further cuts are priced between now and the middle of 2026.
GREEN STREET NEWS
The project, in one of Sydney’s most affluent suburbs, has attracted interest
from wealthy buyers, with its three-bedroom penthouse selling for $20m last
year. Luxury development like La Strada has proven viable for many developers as
well as private financiers like Zagga. Their higher price points make them more
profitable than other apartment buildings amid elevated construction costs.
STOCKHEAD & THE AUSTRALIAN
The term ‘commercial’ has been synonymous with property for decades. It conjures images of office towers, industrial blocks, and retail precincts. However, in the context of commercial real estate debt (CRED) – part of the broader real estate private credit market – commercial doesn’t describe the building, but rather, the underlying loan transaction. It’s about lending to a commercial borrower, typically a developer, and assessing the quality of the sponsor, the project, risk exposure, and execution. Tom Cranfield, Executive Director of Risk & Execution at Zagga, explains why this distinction matters for investors.
There is a growing list of economic indicators pointing to stronger growth in consumer spending and sentiment, dwelling construction, business confidence and exports. These more favourable trends have been positively influenced by falling inflation and solid wages growth.
STOCKHEAD & THE AUSTRALIAN
SMSFs are turning to private credit, says Zagga, which is focused on showing “commercial” lending is less about skyscrapers and more about strong sponsors, steady margins and projects that actually stack up.
The Reserve Bank of Australia has delivered its third interest rate cut of 2025, trimming the cash rate by another 25 basis points. Since the start of the year, cumulative rate reductions have begun to pack more of a punch — and the RBA hopes this momentum will help bolster economic growth and prevent unemployment from climbing too far.
At the recent Commercial Property & Development Finance Summit, industry leaders came together to discuss one of the most significant shifts in Australia’s commercial real estate finance — the rapid rise of private credit.
SMSF ADVISER
Tax has historically been levied on realised gains – profits made, not valuations. Division 296 breaks that tradition, creating a scenario where investors may owe tax on unrealised gains – values that could just as easily reverse.
This adds complexity for investors: it’s no longer just about selecting asset classes, but about structuring portfolios to manage tax exposure.
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We would like to acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of the lands, seas, and communities in which we provide our services. We would also like to pay our respects to the Elders past, present and emerging, and the continuing cultural influence they have on Australia.
Zagga Market Pty Limited (Australian Credit Licence 490904) ACN 611 662 401 acts as the Servicer of loans acting on behalf of the credit provider, Zagga Investments Pty Limited (AFSL 492354) ACN 615 154 786, trustee of the Zagga Investments Lending Trust
All portfolio numbers quoted correct as at 31 December 2025.
*Average investor return across the active portfolio as at 31 December 2025.
**Target return is after expenses and any applicable management fees for the year ended 30 June 2026. OCR = Australian Reserve Bank Official Cash Rate.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance, and should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future results. Investments involve risk, fees and costs, and returns are not guaranteed. No representation or warranty is made regarding future performance, and economic conditions may change.
Prospective investors wishing to invest in a Zagga direct investment or a Zagga Fund should fully consider the Information Memorandum, ZFF Fact Sheet and/or ZWF Brochure, available from Zagga, before applying to invest. Investments are subject to risks.
Articles (including white papers and audio or video content) and FAQs on this website have been prepared by Zagga Investments Pty Limited (AFSL 492354) ACN 615 154 786 (Zagga) for general information only. They do not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs, and are not a substitute for accounting, tax or other professional advice. Nothing in these articles or FAQs is an offer or solicitation to buy or sell a financial product, nor a recommendation to enter into or refrain from any transaction.
Any analysis provided in the articles (including white papers and audio or video content) or FAQs on this website is based on information believed to be reliable, however Zagga does not represent or warrant that it is accurate, complete or up to date. Zagga is not obliged to update the information or opinions contained in any article it. Opinions are those of the author and may change without notice. Readers should exercise their own judgment when relying on information contained in the articles or FAQs. To the maximum extent permitted by law, no member of Zagga accepts liability for any loss arising from the use of such information.
Media coverage featured reflects the independent opinions of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of Zagga.
