FEAR AND GREED
Sean Aylmer speaks with Tom Cranfield, Executive Director at Zagga, about the rise of real estate private credit as a defensive asset. Tom explains how tighter bank lending has opened opportunities for alternative lenders, offering stable returns and low correlation to public markets. They also look at the growing role of private credit in portfolio diversification, particularly in the face of volatility on equity markets.
STOCKHEAD & THE AUSTRALIAN
With market volatility on the rise, investors are increasingly prioritising steady returns and capital preservation. Zagga’s conservative real-estate backed lending aims to offer exactly that. But as capital pours into the sector and headlines follow, it’s becoming increasingly clear: not all private credit strategies are built the same.
Global investors and policy makers continue to assess the extent of the negative impact of US President Trump’s tariff policies. It is likely to remain a moving feast in the months ahead with some retaliation and adjustments to the tariff plans seemingly inevitable. One thing where there is unanimity is the effect of the tariffs – negative for international trade and global economic growth. The major uncertainty is the extent of the fallout.
Explore how policy tailwinds and market demand are aligning to make private credit a smart play in Australia’s evolving real estate landscape.
The impact of the budget on macroeconomic conditions is broadly neutral, which was confirmed with the muted reaction in financial markets to the budget. The pre-conditions are in place for the RBA to deliver further interest rate cuts but the timing of the next rate reduction is, at this stage, open.
SUPER REVIEW
The consensus among alternative investment managers and the broader industry is that an added regulatory impost would stifle returns in private markets.
FS SUPER
With unrest and uncertainty rippling through markets and shaking investor confidence, we have seen a surge in private credit’s popularity – offering potential for reliable, steady income, protection against inflation, and diversification away from public markets. As this growth continues, private credit is set to become an even greater focus for investors, borrowers and regulators.
Traditionally, multi-asset portfolios have relied on the negative correlation between bonds and equities for diversification. Yet, increasingly, we are seeing a positive correlation in public markets. 2022 was an extreme example, where we saw significant correlated dips in both bonds and equities. With current heightened volatility in global markets, investors need true diversification and downside protection via uncorrelated asset classes.
As public markets fluctuate, the need for portfolio resilience and alternative income sources has never been greater. This has driven institutional and high-net-worth investors to seek diversification in uncorrelated asset classes, such as real estate private credit.
THE AUSTRALIAN
Just as corporate bonds provide an alternative to buying shares in companies, CRED provides exposure to the property market without needing to own the assets. However, unlike bonds, which depend on the yield curve, CRED offers a contracted return from day one.
We would like to acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of the lands, seas, and communities in which we provide our services. We would also like to pay our respects to the Elders past, present and emerging, and the continuing cultural influence they have on Australia.
Zagga Market Pty Limited (Australian Credit Licence 490904) ACN 611 662 401 acts as the Servicer of loans acting on behalf of the credit provider, Zagga Investments Pty Limited (AFSL 492354) ACN 615 154 786, trustee of the Zagga Investments Lending Trust
All portfolio numbers quoted correct as at 1 July 2025.
*Average investor return across the active portfolio as at 1 July 2025.
**Target return is after expenses and any applicable management fees for the year ended 30 June 2025. OCR = Australian Reserve Bank Official Cash Rate.
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and investments are subject to investment risk, fees and costs. Returns are not guaranteed.
Prospective investors wishing to invest in a Zagga direct investment or a Zagga Fund should fully consider the Information Memorandum, ZFF Fact Sheet and/or ZWF Brochure, available from Zagga, before applying to invest. Investments are subject to risks.
Articles on this website have been prepared by Zagga Investments Pty Limited (AFSL 492354) ACN 615 154 786 (Zagga) for information purposes only. It doesn’t take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs, nor is it intended as a substitute for any accounting, tax or other professional advice, consultation or service. Nothing in this article shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any financial product, or to engage in or refrain from engaging in any transaction.
Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance. Economic conditions may change.
Any analysis provided in this article is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable but Zagga does not make any representation or warranty that it is accurate, complete or up to date. Zagga accepts no obligation to correct or update the information or opinions in it. Any opinions expressed in this article are of the author and is subject to change without notice. Readers are reminded to exercise caution and use their own judgment when interpreting and applying the information contained in this article No member of Zagga accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect, consequential or other loss arising from any use of such information.
