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The escalating tariff war threatens Australia’s recovery

Global investors and policy makers continue to assess the extent of the negative impact of US President Trump’s tariff policies. It is likely to remain a moving feast in the months ahead with some retaliation and adjustments to the tariff plans seemingly inevitable. One thing where there is unanimity is the effect of the tariffs – negative for international trade and global economic growth. The major uncertainty is the extent of the fallout.

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Interest rates pressured by inflation as the economy slows

The past month was dominated by news of weaker economic growth, a still fragile labour market and an upward blip in inflation. There was no surprise when RBA left interest rates steady at 4.35 per cent after its June meeting, meaning there has been no policy change since the last rate hike in November 2023.

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Could this be the answer to the housing crisis?

FEAR AND GREED
Australia is still in the midst of a housing crisis. House prices have risen for 15 consecutive months. Rents are soaring. Demand is outstripping supply. Alan Greenstein talks to Sean about the potential for private credit to make a difference to the housing crisis.

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Insights from PERE Asia Summit 2024

Current economic, real estate and investment trends driving the discussions at the PERE Asia Conference underscore the promising outlook for investors in private credit. The appealing fundamentals of Australia, coupled with the preference for fixed income strategies and low volatility, highlight the need for private credit to be a key component of every investor’s portfolio.

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What to expect for the economy in 2024

2023 ended with a clear and marked slowdown… The key issues early in 2024 will be the extent of the fall in inflation – if it falls earlier and more aggressively than the RBA is currently forecasting, the start of the interest rate cutting cycle will be brought forward to the first half of the year.

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We would like to acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of the lands, seas, and communities in which we provide our services. We would also like to pay our respects to the Elders past, present and emerging, and the continuing cultural influence they have on Australia.

Zagga Market Pty Limited (Australian Credit Licence 490904) ACN 611 662 401 acts as the Servicer of loans acting on behalf of the credit provider, Zagga Investments Pty Limited (AFSL 492354) ACN 615 154 786, trustee of the Zagga Investments Lending Trust

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All portfolio numbers quoted correct as at 31 December 2025.

*Average investor return across the active portfolio as at 31 December 2025.

**Target return is after expenses and any applicable management fees for the year ended 30 June 2026. OCR = Australian Reserve Bank Official Cash Rate.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance, and should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future results. Investments involve risk, fees and costs, and returns are not guaranteed. No representation or warranty is made regarding future performance, and economic conditions may change.

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